The Definitive Voice of Entertainment News
Subscribe for full access to The Hollywood Reporter
See My Options Sign Upsite categories
site categories
The Definitive Voice of Entertainment News
Subscribe for full access to The Hollywood Reporter
See My Options Sign UpBen Zauzmer
Ben Zauzmer is a contributing writer for The Hollywood Reporter and the author of Oscarmetrics: The Math Behind the Biggest Night in Hollywood.
Contact or follow this author
More from Ben Zauzmer
Predicting This Year’s Oscar Nominations Using Just Math
At least six movies are nearly locks for best picture, per a mathematical formula that factors in awards season data and historical trends.
- By
Tony Awards: Predicting the Winners Using Just Math
A category-by-category look at which musicals and plays have the best chance of claiming honors based on a model trained on historical data and other indicator awards.
- By
Predicting This Year’s Oscar Winners Using Just Math
'Oppenheimer' has a 78 percent chance to claim best picture, per a mathematical model.
- By
Oscars’ Best Casting Award: Which Movies Would’ve Won Over 96 Years of Academy History?
A year-by-year "what if," guided by math, to make educated guesses filling in a nearly century-long gap of recognition for casting directors.
- By
Predicting This Year’s Oscar Nominations Using Just Math
A half-dozen movies are nearly locks for best picture, according to a mathematical formula that factors in awards season data and historical trends.
- By
Tony Awards: Predicting the Winners Using Just Math
A close look at which musicals and plays have the best chance of claiming honors based on a model trained on historical Tony Awards data over the past quarter-century, among other factors.
- By
Predicting This Year’s Oscar Winners Using Just Math
Per a mathematical model, 'Everything Everywhere All at Once' has a 2-in-3 chance to claim best picture.
- By
Predicting This Year’s Oscar Nominations Using Just Math
Five top contenders are a mathematical lock for the best picture category, according to a formula that factors in awards season data and historical trends.
- By
How Often Do the Early Favorites Win Best Picture?
The December deluge of critics’ honors will push best picture contenders to the front of the Oscar race — but how often do those favorites maintain their momentum to the finish line in March?
- By
How Much Does Box Office Really Impact Oscars TV Ratings?
Data from over three decades of telecasts shows that, yes, big grosses matter to viewership and there’s a historical edge for more popular films among the Academy membership.
- By
Inside the Academy’s Inclusion Drive
Now that AMPAS has surpassed its goal of doubling its women and members of color, the group keeps pushing. The Hollywood Reporter dug into the data to see which branches have achieved parity and which have more work to do.
- By
Predicting This Year’s Oscar Winners Using Just Math
According to a mathematical model, Jane Campion’s 'Power of the Dog' has a 45 percent chance to claim the top honor, so the race is hardly a sure thing, but the odds say it remains the favorite.
- By
THE HOLLYWOOD REPORTER is a registered trademark of The Hollywood Reporter, LLC.