A note from Scott: It’s Thursday, Jan. 23, just a few hours after the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences released this year’s Oscar nominations. I’ve already studied the list, written my analysis and compiled links to the 13 episodes of my Awards Chatter podcast that I conducted with people who wound up with noms. Now it’s time to look ahead.

Caveat emptor: There are 38 days between now and the 97th Oscars ceremony on March 2. The final round of Oscars voting won’t begin until 9 a.m. PT on Feb. 11, and won’t end until 5 p.m. PT on Feb. 18. In other words, a lot can still happen. And I will be updating these charts along the way.

Please remember: You can bookmark this URL and return to it at any time to see my latest picks. Think of me like a meteorologist — my aim is to correctly predict what will happen, not to advocate for what I think should happen. My picks are arrived at by screening the films, consulting with the voters, analyzing the campaigns and studying the results of past seasons. I do not rank things that I have not seen, because doing so is just silly.

Best Picture

Best Director

Best Actor

Best Actress

Best Supporting Actor

Best Supporting Actress

Best Adapted Screenplay

Best Original Screenplay

Best International Feature

Best Documentary Feature

Best Animated Feature

Best Cinematography

Best Costume Design

Best Film Editing

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

Best Original Score

Best Original Song

Best Production Design

Best Sound

Best Visual Effects

Archived forecasts

• Sept. 6, 2024
• Sept. 17, 2024
• Sept. 30, 2024
• Oct. 17, 2024
• Oct. 22, 2024
• Oct. 29, 2024
• Nov. 7, 2024
• Nov. 14, 2024
• Dec. 4, 2024
• Dec. 9, 2024
• Dec. 30, 2024
• Jan. 6, 2025
• Jan. 17, 2025